Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.032510e-05 0.000107 0.000125 0.000146 0.000168 0.000192 0.000220
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.714851e-05 0.000089 0.000113 0.000143 0.000177 0.000215 0.000260
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.438105e-05 0.000078 0.000106 0.000140 0.000182 0.000230 0.000287
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.374285e-05 0.000068 0.000099 0.000138 0.000187 0.000244 0.000315
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.724000e-05 0.000062 0.000095 0.000139 0.000194 0.000259 0.000342
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.179408e-05 0.000057 0.000092 0.000140 0.000201 0.000276 0.000372
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.692118e-05 0.000052 0.000088 0.000139 0.000206 0.000288 0.000395
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.156761e-05 0.000046 0.000082 0.000134 0.000205 0.000294 0.000411
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.957763e-05 0.000044 0.000082 0.000139 0.000216 0.000314 0.000443
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.540983e-05 0.000039 0.000076 0.000133 0.000214 0.000317 0.000455
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.333327e-05 0.000036 0.000074 0.000134 0.000219 0.000330 0.000479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.095637e-05 0.000033 0.000071 0.000132 0.000221 0.000338 0.000497
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.711116e-06 0.000032 0.000071 0.000137 0.000232 0.000359 0.000534
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.812297e-06 0.000029 0.000068 0.000136 0.000236 0.000372 0.000559
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.859904e-06 0.000025 0.000064 0.000132 0.000236 0.000377 0.000575
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.600795e-06 0.000023 0.000061 0.000131 0.000239 0.000388 0.000598
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.599094e-06 0.000021 0.000059 0.000130 0.000243 0.000399 0.000622
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.967527e-06 0.000020 0.000059 0.000132 0.000250 0.000416 0.000652
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.208084e-06 0.000018 0.000056 0.000131 0.000252 0.000425 0.000673
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.470280e-06 0.000015 0.000052 0.000127 0.000251 0.000429 0.000687
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.248881e-06 0.000015 0.000053 0.000131 0.000261 0.000449 0.000722
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.359880e-07 0.000012 0.000049 0.000126 0.000257 0.000450 0.000732
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.242931e-07 0.000012 0.000048 0.000127 0.000262 0.000463 0.000758